Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.000619 0.000664 0.000711 0.000762 0.000818 0.000876 0.000941
2025-12-07 0.000548 0.000610 0.000677 0.000755 0.000842 0.000937 0.001048
2025-12-14 0.000492 0.000565 0.000646 0.000743 0.000855 0.000982 0.001135
2025-12-21 0.000449 0.000529 0.000621 0.000733 0.000867 0.001022 0.001216
2025-12-28 0.000405 0.000489 0.000585 0.000707 0.000856 0.001033 0.001260
2026-01-04 0.000374 0.000460 0.000562 0.000693 0.000856 0.001055 0.001317
2026-01-11 0.000354 0.000443 0.000550 0.000691 0.000871 0.001095 0.001395
2026-01-18 0.000337 0.000429 0.000542 0.000693 0.000889 0.001138 0.001478
2026-01-25 0.000321 0.000415 0.000532 0.000691 0.000902 0.001174 0.001553
2026-02-01 0.000303 0.000396 0.000516 0.000680 0.000902 0.001192 0.001603
2026-02-08 0.000287 0.000380 0.000502 0.000671 0.000903 0.001211 0.001656
2026-02-15 0.000273 0.000367 0.000490 0.000665 0.000907 0.001234 0.001714
2026-02-22 0.000260 0.000355 0.000480 0.000661 0.000916 0.001266 0.001790
2026-03-01 0.000249 0.000344 0.000472 0.000659 0.000928 0.001304 0.001875
2026-03-08 0.000236 0.000330 0.000459 0.000650 0.000929 0.001325 0.001937
2026-03-15 0.000224 0.000318 0.000448 0.000643 0.000931 0.001347 0.002001
2026-03-22 0.000209 0.000300 0.000427 0.000621 0.000911 0.001336 0.002013
2026-03-29 0.000198 0.000287 0.000413 0.000608 0.000904 0.001344 0.002055
2026-04-05 0.000190 0.000279 0.000407 0.000607 0.000915 0.001377 0.002138
2026-04-12 0.000184 0.000274 0.000403 0.000608 0.000928 0.001416 0.002231
2026-04-19 0.000178 0.000267 0.000398 0.000607 0.000938 0.001449 0.002314
2026-04-26 0.000170 0.000257 0.000387 0.000597 0.000934 0.001460 0.002362
2026-05-03 0.000163 0.000249 0.000378 0.000590 0.000932 0.001474 0.002416